Why would businesses require vaccination if the numbers in their country are good and there is a requirement for a vaccination or negative test if you are traveling to the country? It makes no sense. These businesses have been hurting from the lack or tourism for the last year. The last thing they want to do is make it harder for business.
What does that mean? Is the pandemic over?
Just because you tested negative at the time of your flight doesn't mean you can't catch the virus two days later. If a week after arriving into the UK, you want to board a cruise ship, your test from your flight time is useless. You will have to retest. If, two weeks later, you want to attend a Hans Zimmer concert requiring a negative test in the last 5 days, your retest is also useless.
Sure, if all you want to do hang out on a patio or spend your afternoons strolling in a park, you will do fine. But, we are discussing cruising here, and no European cruise line at the moment will let you on board without a vaccine or a test in the last three days.
Big difference. FL is refusing to issue "vaccine passports", refusing to assist third party vaccine documents and is making it illegal for a business to require vaccination. The opposite, FL is allowing a school to ban teachers and students from vaccination.
NY is issuing vaccination passport.
States issue drivers license. States give access to drivers data to third parties like rental agencies.
The comparison is bogus.
Your comparison logic doesn't make much sense. If Florida can issue a driver's license, it can also issue a vaccine certificate if it wants. The federal government doesn't have to be involved. International travel industry can make use of the vaccine certificate in the same way that it does a driver's license.
Eh I think this is overstated come sometime in 2022. If there were a virus strain bypassing vaccination limitations wouldn't help much unless you are shutting down boarders to whole countries/regions.
Vaccination/recovered individuals at a certain point should choke out much of the spread of the virus. At that point its really going to be about a virus mutation bypassing vaccination/previous infection at which point the checks of someone having a vaccine isn't going to matter.
If we are then saying your "passport" needs to contain the new vaccination that is going to cause a huge issue to travel since there will be no way to predict when new booster shots would be needed and how quickly you could get a shot prior to travel.
Think about it this way:
Would you book a July 2022 trip if you were just vaccinated but the requirement was that France was going to require you to have whatever the latest cutting edge vaccine was for COVID19. Seems like its a large risk for either the traveler or travel company to take on for last second new vaccine booster shots that you might be unable to get.
If the viral case load gets low enough so that this is no longer a pandemic, yes, I agree there won't be any need for vaccination for most of the services. In the same vein, if the FDA determines that a booster is necessary to keep the protection or we risk a relapse, then, yes, absolutely, the travel industry will have to continue to work with the restrictions.
Travel industry somehow getting back to 'normal' by 2022 is a pipe dream - like it was last year. Look at what's happening in India. They aren't even done 20% of their first shots. My optimistic case is maybe some travel bubbles in 2022, such as between North America and Europe, or within parts of Asia. International free-form travel is a 2023 event at the earliest.