pilferk
Jambo Wildbunch Gang
- Joined
- Nov 17, 2005
OK I'll jump into the fray with a few general comments since this seems to have degenerated into another AVK vs SSR thread (Ugh!)
Some have mentioned the sleeper chair, extra bathroom and larger rooms as driving resale demand for AKV. I'm not sure I agree with that.
First, I think the sleeper chairs will be added to the other resorts sooner rather than later. DVC is already upgrading all resorts' sofabeds (certainly a costlier move), buying more expensive mattresses, adding DVD players to studios, etc. With the expanded occupancy (5 and 9 guests) being condoned by DVC for several years now, IMO it's inevitable that they will add sleeping accommodations for the additional guest.
Can they? I mean, the rooms are "filed" as having an existing occupancy level. While I know they can turn a blind eye toward people going over that level, I'm not sure (and someone please clarify if you can) they can increase the occupancy directly. I actually hope they can! We're a family of 5, and one of the reasons AKV ended up being even more appealing was the fact we wouldn't have to buy as many points (which goes toward your "price tag" point) to get our family in a room. Soon, if we want to use other resorts, it's going to mean booking a 2BR once the baby is a bit older.
As for the other items, the problem I have is that I don't see similar in-room features driving demand for other resorts. I have not witnessed a great number of people stating that their primary reason for buying OKW is the larger rooms. I don't see people deciding to buy SSR because they can book dedicated 2Bs with two queen beds. I don't see people buying BWV because it has studio rooms with daybeds.
I agree. not primary reasons. But certainly factors in determining #4, below...or rather determining value for the cost, which I think is part of that consideration. The added "stuff" at AKV seems to increase the value of your points, at least for now, because to get the stuff you get "stock" at AKV, you'd have to spend more points at the other resorts (increased occupancy and bathrooms). Also, keep in mind, at least when I was discussing those factors, I was simply talking about concerns when buying (or continuing to own and use at AKV)....not in relation to resale value specifically.
I think the main issues that drive a purchase decision--not necessarily in this order--are:
1. Visual appeal. People aren't going to buy at the dark, backwoods resort if they want that airy beach feel (and vice versa.)
2. Resort amenities. Large pool...golf course...spa...savanna...take your pick.
3. Location. Near the parks...near DTD...out in the middle of nowhere (which certainly DOES appeal to many people.)
4. Cost. Everybody looks at the price tag.
Absolutely agree. Those are the primary factors. But those primary factors can either conflict with one another, or only narrow the field so far. It seems when weighing many of the resorts, you end up with pros and cons in each of those categories. So then it comes down to some of the lesser factors, and how they appeal to consumers and families. I think AKV has enough of those to give it a good chance in the hunt. Now, I'm not saying it will increase in value FASTER than the other resorts (at least not until their contract expiry's get closer)...but I think there are enough benefits for it to keep pace.
Throw all of that into a blender and each person should be able to come up with their best case scenario.
IMO, things like having an extra bathroom are nice, but I don't see them playing a major role in the purchase decision for most people. If I like the look and location of AKV, the extra bathroom may be icing on the cake, but I'm not going to buy there just for the extra bath if I can't stand the dark wood furniture and isolation of the resort.
Agreed. But just like when you're looking at houses...you find 2 houses you like, same general price range, but one has some extra sq ftage and an extra bath......those small things start to become factors.
The lower point rooms at AKV are attractive, but I think there is room to question whether that will have any impact on resale prices. BWV has Standard View rooms yet resale prices there are about the same as VWL (with just one room class.) BCV contracts sell for even more than BWV yet have the same ending date, same location and lack the lower-point rooms.
Some of that pricing is certainly driven by supply and demand, but not all of it. After all the supply at VWL is about half of BCV, yet BCV pricing is higher.
I agree. I think the biggest selling point of AKV are the savannah views, and I think how much the value rooms influence resale (if at all) will directly correlate to how often owners find (and report) they book a value room and get a savannah view vs a parking lot view. That "lottery" effect may minimize any "benefit" the value rooms would otherwise have.
It would be interesting to see what resale prices would do NOT propped up by ROFR or Disney's selling "sold out" points. Those two things, alone, seem to dictate resale prices have to stay in a specific range...
As for resale value between SSR and AKV, all I can do is fall back on supply and demand and guess that AKV will be a little higher since SSR is about 50% larger. I still think that my list above (visual appeal, location, etc.) will play more of a role in resale pricing, but it's far too early to determine which resort will be preferred by the masses.
I agree...I think, ultimately, in that showdown supply and demand ends up being the mitigating factor....because other things just balance out in the end. I think the 2 will likly keep pretty close pace to each other (and the other resorts for awhile)...AKV may nose ahead a bit, but I doubt by much.