California races were more or less forced to stop. They had logistical issues, the Anaheim council and Disney weren’t getting along and the parks were going through some major construction.Couple of thoughts. The collapse of RunDisney has already kind of happened. The number of events from five years ago to today is significant to say the least. California RunDisney collapsed, Tower of Terror is gone, the 5k scavenger thing at Animal Kingdom in May (can't remember the name) is gone at WDW. I definitely could see Star Wars just not coming back and maybe Wine and Dine going away. I doubt they will get rid of the Marathon Weekend, but it may become the only races left in the next year or two. But that is not strictly Disney related. Running events are collapsing everywhere. A lot of bad actors damaged events, everyone doing a race for whatever charity or cause they could think of and inundated the market and the novelty has worn off. People are not as interested and the amount of participants (I almost said runners) just aren't there like used to be.
As for Disney weathering this storm. Sure, they will survive as a whole, and while they have money to survive, I think you will definitely see a lot of things get cancelled or scrapped that are not necessary or aren't far enough along to keep doing. Parks have helped support the company for a few years, but now they will be in the red for at least a year or two. I expect them to reduce the number of cast members across the board, eliminate some of those extra magic things (could be character meets, extra fireworks shows, etc). Anyone familiar with the parks for years can recall when the parks were just the parks and not non stop entertainment, shows and events. Even letting some of the talent in Epcot go already, that will probably spread. If its not making money, don't do it until they return to the profits they want.
They will have to convince people to come back and as already said, this virus is not going away. Flattening the curve prolongs the infection rates over a greater period of time. Right or wrong, that is the approach they are taking. Maybe they will be able to find some treatments that save lives, but people will still get it and lives will be lost. There is no right or wrong answer and this will be debated for years. Even after 9/11 it only took a year or two for everyone to rehash every decisions and politicians to try to explain away why the supported something at the time.
Yes Tower and Everest stopped but you also had Star Wars added. runDisney also added virtual races and two Paris races. So there certainly was some additions with the lost events.
Wine and Dine sold out in minutes. It’s also an event they can connect to food and wine and play with the theme a bit.
I guess I need some evidence of events collapsing everywhere. At least not near me. Yes field sizes have come down a little bit I’m certainly not seeing events go away altogether.
Like you said they’ll need to convince people to come back. Disney does that with a few things, events like this, and discounts. Don’t expect a price drop but fully expect discounting on packages and rooms.