When our March trip was cancelled a couple weeks ago, we rebooked for August, which at the time, felt far into the future. Now, out here in California we're being told to prepare for at least another 2 months of stay-at-home mandates, and suddenly that August trip doesn't necessarily feel like a sure thing anymore.
No one can say for sure what will happen, but here's how I look at the possibilities for August:
1. WDW is closed. It seems insane to think that this would even be a possibility, but who knows. However, if this is the case, then there's not any decision to make.
2. WDW is open but in a limited capacity. What if in August only select resorts & dining locations are open, or select parks, or only some rides? What if there are no fireworks, no shows, no parades, no character meet & greets? We'll have to assess what is being offered and see if the trip is still worth it.
3. WDW is open but there is "social wariness" about going. This is harder to quantify and strictly a personal decision. If WDW is open, there will no doubt be people who will rush to be there opening day. But I imagine for a lot of people there will be some initial wariness about going back into large group gatherings - especially at a place like WDW where people from all over the country and world are gathering. If the park has only recently opened by August, I might feel better about postponing again and taking some time to "see how it goes" with others.
4. WDW is fully open (so not option 2) and it has been open for awhile (so not option 3) but there are fundamental changes to the way WDW operaties (either temporary or permanently). What I'm imagining here is that WDW is fully open, but there are new policies and procedures in place, like: you need to have your temperature taken before entering a park, or there are hand washing stations you must use before entering a restaurant (like on a cruise ship), or all rides have a virtual queue, or all shows are filled to only half capacity for social distancing. Whatever these things are, they'd be for the health & safety of guests, so in a way it's not unlike having to go through security. But if the experience changes enough, or in a way that would seriously detract from the trip, we'd have to reconsider.
5. WDW is open and everything is back to normal like none of this ever happened. It could happen, right? At least some day? But I have a feeling like we won't be at this point by August 2020.
I'm hoping we're at #4 by August, but I have a feeling it may be more like some combination of 2 & 3.
That's my assessment anyway.