Personally, I would have no objections to DVC reorganizing the points every 10 years or so. Yes, demand is going to fluctuate over time If DVC wants to respond to that, so be it.
The point charts we have now are based upon 20-year old booking patterns for cash guests. DVC members exhibit different trends. Moving MouseFest to September isn't going to have much impact on early-December at all. You'll still have the holiday decorations,
MVMCP, low crowds (with the Christmas vacation looming for schools, that will never change) and other appealing factors.
If done properly, the first change would likely be the most radical. Again, it's the unique tendencies of DVC members that have never been accounted for until now. The impact of special events is secondary.
Adding more special events may tip things in different directions, but that doesn't appear likely. WDW already has dozens of events, big and small. ESPN, Star Wars, soap opera, Flower & Garden, Pirate and Princess parties, kiddie concerts in the Fall, teddy bear events, pin trading events, Halloween party, etc. None of them have reached a level of popularity which would impact room demand. And if one should, it would be a gradual process.
1) Nothing changes because people WANT to be there at that time and don't mind the cost. They'll add points or take shorter trips or whatever.
I totally agree...except for the "nothing changes" part. If people take shorter trips--mission accomplished. That's the whole point is creating additional capacity during the high demand periods.
If people add more points, no problem there either. The number of points at a resort are fixed. High prices should mirror high demand, low prices with low demand.
At 7 months, all bets are off. Any BCV or BWV owner who thinks they are entitled to be able to book their Home resort at 7 months or less is kidding themselves. But to those who want to know
why they have trouble booking at 9 or 10 months, the biggest reason is that the point charts are out of whack.
Personally, I don't really care either way. It's six of one, half-dozen of another. The way things stand know, I know there are plenty of periods in the spring when I can use my points to book any resort at 7 months. I've even booked BWV Standard View twice and anticipate doing so again. The only downside is that I'm paying Dream or Magic season points.
If DVC changed the charts to better reflect demand, I'd be paying Adventure or Choice season points for the same dates, with more limited resort options. I could live with that, too.